Updated Thursday 1:00 p.m.

Summer begins on July 19, just like it does every year, right?

While cool weather fans have been doing the dance of joy so far, the sunny and warm fans look to finally get a grip on weather more to their liking, just as we begin to reach the peak of the warm and dry season.

We're alllllmost done with the showers. A weak Convergence Zone is still lollygagging around its usual spot in southern Snohomish County and northern King County, occasionally spitting out a few raindrops this afternoon and evening. Elsewhere we're expecting to remain dry and partly sunny.

Tonight will remain the same -- partly cloudy with perhaps some sprinkles or light showers in the stubborn Convergence Zone area. Lows will be in the 50s.

The Convergence Zone might just survive through about mid-Friday morning, but it's a low chance. Otherwise it's an increasingly sunny and warmer day with temperatures getting into the low-mid 70s.

Then, boom, sun fans take to the streets in delight as high pressure begins to build in and we rattle off a string of sunny and warm days. So far it's not looking too hot -- we still have some onshore flow to keep a lid on getting the real sizzling summer heat. But highs both weekend days should reach the upper 70s to low 80s. One raw model output is pegging 85 on Sunday which is over the official "It's Too Hot in Seattle" scale of 84. But many other models keep it just under the threshold, in the 81-83 range.

We'll keep the sunshine and low 80s Monday, then cool a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday as a weak trough kicks up the marine breezes a bit. No rain expected, but a period of morning clouds before the sunshine is likely, and highs will drop back into the 70s.

Long range models suggest a slight rebound as we get into the end of the week with shorter periods of morning clouds, corresponding longer periods of sunshine, and highs back flirting with, or just crossing over 80.

Really as far as late July goes, even the cool weather fans would likely accept 78-83 because we know it can be so much worse. But so far, so good as no intense heat is in the forecast.

And besides, the sun fans have earned this week, and we can take solace that we're just two months away from being two days away from the start of autumn :)

Scott Sistek
KOMONews.com Meteorologist
Follow me on Twitter @ScottSKOMO and on Facebook at Scott Sistek KOMO