Updated Monday 3:35 p.m.
January had two streaks of 10+ consecutive days of measurable precipitation, but now that it's finally cold enough to snow, the moisture has developed a bit of shyness. Bottom line for snow fans is there remains several chances of snow showers through the weekend, but we're essentially fighting for table scraps as far as moisture goes. Just one half-inch rain storm would do the trick. Alas....
In the short term, it's another cold night on tap with mostly clear skies and lows in the mid teens to mid 20s. There is zero percent chance of traditional thunderstorms, but with dew points in single digits from this Canadian arctic air, you might have noticed the ultra dry air has made static shock an issue (tiny personal thunderstorms!)
A very weak weather system is inbound for Tuesday, but before snow fans get too excited, you're only allowed if you live in or south of Olympia. Much of the moisture is staying offshore, but southwestern Washington may get a little bit as the low center nears the southern coast on its way into southern Oregon.
Those of you in or south of Olympia may scrap together about an inch of snow on Tuesday, then maybe another inch in showers Tuesday night. For the Puget Sound area, we're talking flurries with minimal to no accumulations -- snow levels at sea level, but nothing to fall into it. North of Everett, it's just a dry, chilly, mostly-to-all cloudy day. Highs will be in the low-mid 30s. Sorry Seattle snow fans: Cold? Check. Moisture? Bzzt. Want snow? Head to Portland.
We're all dry and partly sunny on Wednesday with morning lows in the mid-upper 20s warming to highs near 40, and then another weak system slides on Wednesday night into early Thursday. Again, snow levels will be at or near sea level, but we're challenged for moisture. So...scattered flurries again with little or no accumulations. (Snow fans: "C'mon -- can't we even get like a quarter-inch "rain" storm to fall into this cold air?") Highs Thursday again will be near 40 with lows in the mid-upper 20s.
We do get a better shot of moisture Friday into the weekend, but now we're starting to falter on temperatures staying cold enough. There could be a period of light snow-to-rain showers on Friday above a few hundred feet before we warm into the low 40s and change to rain. Scattered showers remain in the offing over the weekend with snow levels bouncing between 300-500 feet depending on time of day/night so it'll be quite a difficult forecast living life right on the fringe of snow.
Some of the longer range models are pegging potentially up to 1-2" total for Seattle area, but perhaps a couple inches more in the outlying areas and with elevation. But again, temperatures on the fringe so a couple degrees either way will mean the difference between a blanket of snow, a mix or just plain ol' rain. We'll get a better handle on it as we get closer to the weekend. The super long range models keep us colder than normal into the following week as well.
In the meantime, it's just cold and flurries. Winter may have been a bit late, but it's not letting go now...
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Today's Record Temperatures